South east London predictions if there is a snap election

Boris Johnson is expected to announce that he is resigning as Prime Minister after the backlash from Tory MPs who have made clear is position is unsustainable.

On Wednesday, a large number of ministers and MPs began resigning their roles in parliament after the row surrounding former deputy chief Chris Pincher, who quit his position after allegedly assaulting two men while drunk at London’s Carlton Club.

Will Quince, Robin Walker, John Glen, Victoria Atkins, Jo Churchill, Stuart Andrew, Kemi Badenoch, Neil O’Brien, Alex Burgh are among more than 50 ministers who quit their duties.

On Tuesday evening, Rishi Sunak and Sajid Javid both quit their Cabinet posts which soon led to the mass resignation of ministers.

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Labour leader Sir Keir said ministers resigning from Mr Johnson’s Government have not got a “shred of integrity” given the level of recent scandals, adding it was the “first recorded case of the sinking ships fleeing the rats”.

Starmer has since backed a call for a snap general election as he claims it is time for Britain to have a “fresh start”.

But what would really happen if a snap election was held tomorrow?

A snap election is often held when the government needs to resolve a specific issue and is confident it will increase its majority without weeks of the usual campaigning.

Electoral Calculus is a website that collects the latest polls and applies them to the latest election’s constituency-level results to see who would win a snap election. We’ve taken the liberty of rounding up each south east London constituency to see who would be predicted to win if a snap election was held tomorrow.

The results found are published by Electoral Calculus - the most accurate pre-poll predictors of the 2019 general election.

Below is the percentages of predicted votes for each south east London constituency:

Bexleyheath and Crayford:

Conservative – 44.9 per cent

Labour – 35.2 per cent

Lib Dems – 8.6 per cent

Green – 4.7 per cent

Reform – 1.4 per cent

Other – 5. 2 per cent

Conservative predicted majority 9.7 per cent

Bromley and Chislehurst:

Conservative – 38.6 per cent

Labour – 35.5 per cent

Lib Dems – 14.6 per cent

Green – 5.5 per cent

Reform - 1.0 per cent

Other – 4.8 per cent

Conservative predicted majority – 3.1 per cent

Dartford:

Conservative - 46.2 per cent

Labour – 34.0 per cent

Lib Dems -8.9 per cent

Green – 4.6 per cent

Reform – 1.3 per cent

Other - 4.9 per cent

Conservative predicted majority – 12.2 per cent

Greenwich and Woolwich:

Labour – 55.0 per cent

Conservative – 17.0 per cent

Lib Dems – 13.8 per cent Green – 8.6 per cent

Reform – 0.8 per cent Other – 4.8 per cent

Labour predicted majority – 38.0 per cent

Lewisham Deptford:

Labour – 63.8 per cent

Conservative – 9.3 per cent

Lib Dems – 11.8 per cent

Green – 10.3 per cent

Reform – 0.5 per cent

Other – 4.2 per cent

Labour predicted majority – 52 per cent

Lewisham East:

Labour – 57.4 per cent

Conservative – 17.0 per cent

Lib Dems – 12.6 per cent

Green – 7.1 per cent

Reform – 0.9 per cent

Other – 5.0 per cent

Labour predicted majority – 40.5 per cent

Lewisham West and Penge:

Labour – 57.9 per cent

Conservative – 15.5 per cent

Lib Dems – 13.2 per cent

Green – 8.0 per cent

Reform – 0.7 per cent

Other – 4.7 per cent

Labour predicted majority – 42.4 per cent

The results predict that the Conservatives would win the Bexley and Crayford, Bromley and Chislehurst and Dartford seats.

For Labour, the results predict that Greenwich and Woolwich, Lewisham Deptford, Lewisham East and Lewisham and Penge would win seats.

Dartford is predicted to have the highest percentage of votes for Conservative with 44.9 per cent.

Lewisham Deptford is predicted to have the highest percentage of votes for Labour with 63.8 per cent.

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